Sunday, September 25, 2005

A picture is worth a thousand words


Bill Roggio on the Fourth Rail has the AAR from the recent battle at Tal-Afar where a mixed US-Iraqi Division size offensive took down the largest terrorist encampment since Falljujah. Wretchard at the Belmont Club carries a similar AAR from Colonel Brown in Mosul. Both stories tell of an enemy increasingly relying on lower quality, younger recruits with little experience who are no more than cannon fodder.

Wretchard follows up with a post that leads to a discussion of US Casualties.

A picture is worth a thousand words. So I used data from the Strategy Page on US Casualties and produced this graph. I chose a polynomial 4th order trend line.

It would be nice to have data on civillian casualties, car bombs, insurgents captured, killed, etc as well to put on this graph. And I sure Centcom has all kinds of graphics that would put this to shame.

But I think it speaks for itself. Either resources are being held in abeyance for a big surge during the election, or the terrorists in Iraq have shot their wad.

2 Comments:

Blogger RattlerGator said...

Good job; hope you don't mind me posting that graphic on my blog with credit to your site.

9:57 AM  
Blogger Gene Felder said...

I saw your counter-propaganda suggestions on The Belmont Club February 18, 2006, and liked them very much. The list is for the CIA, not really Rumsfeld and the Defense Department. Your suggestions address my question from the prior day. What else should the US do?

“Generals Ulysses S. Grant and William Tecumseh Sherman were convinced that they would have to take the fight to the Confederacy to win the Civil War. If they were not aggressive, and the war would drag on too long, many bad things would occur:
- Confederacy more likely to obtain recognition and aid from foreign countries
- Democratic Party anti-war sentiments would undermine & perhaps end the war effort
- A greater number of Union and Southern soldiers would be killed and wounded

According to Gen. Sherman the war effort should destroy the resources that allowed the enemy to sustain its warfare. The concept is total war.

Currently the United States and its allies are engaged in a War on Terror against Islamofascists. We should want to shorten the war likely reducing the overall deaths and casualties. If we were to follow Gen. Sherman advice that the war effort should destroy the resources that allow the enemy to sustain its warfare, what would we do?”

Gene Felder
Gene@Felders.Net
www.FelderLaguna.Blogspot.com

11:43 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home